Photography Predictions 2011

Welcome to the first Annual Photography Predictions where I’ll prognosticate trends for the coming year. So, without further ado…

    1. The megapixel war will continue to rage on with the big 2 combatants, Canon and Nikon, releasing cameras in the in 30 mp range.
    2. Don’t expect any new full-frame cameras to be released any time soon as the current crop produce outstanding results. However, read #3.
    3. As manufacturers reach the limits of how many pixels they can cram onto sensors, we may see some sort of modular design with 2 or 4 chips placed side by side improving resolution and image quality.
    4. In 2009, Pentax released the K-7, the first DSLR with built-in high dynamic range (HDR) capabilities, though not the same as the tone mapping, slider adjusting software packages used to create those freaky detailed, highly saturated images. Look for other manufacturers to follow suit and improve control over the final output.
    5. Canon will release the eagerly awaited replacement to the Canon 5D MarkII with an upgraded focusing system and other goodies geared towards the video market. Did you know last season’s final episode of House was filmed entirely with 5DM2’s? I hope the boss is reading this. ;o)
  1. EVIL looms. Electronic Viewfinder with Interchangeable Lens cameras will continue to grow in popularity – especially with cool retro designs like Fuji’s X100. These cameras offer superior image quality over the point and shoot, plus they have interchangeable lenses.
  2. Camera makers will come up some nifty new features in the point and shoot category to compete with the ubiquitous Smartphones, which are eating into the entry level of the camera market.
  3. 3D will be a passing fad as it has been numerous times in the past. Granted, it’s not quite the low-tech, anaglyphic process of yesteryear, but you still need to wear glasses (perhaps on top of your prescription glasses). I can’t see people reaching for their 3D glasses to view family photos or handing out several pairs to guests for watching movies. 3D certainly has its place on the big screen, enriching the cinematic experience, but until they can effectively produce glasses-free 3D… we’ll talk again in a few years.

There you have it. Until next time, have a Merry Christmas and a prosperous New Year!

 

2 comments

  1. ‘Don’t expect any new full-frame cameras to be released any time soon as the current crop produce outstanding results. However, read #3.’

    ‘Canon will release the eagerly awaited replacement to the Canon 5D MarkII with an upgraded focusing system and other goodies geared towards the video market. Did you know last season’s final episode of House was filmed entirely with 5DM2’s? I hope the boss is reading this. ;o)’

    Sorry but you can’t have both predictions and be right. I would guess that the |Canon 5D mrk3 will be realised around the time of the Nikon the D800, both full frame cameras, The is a chance the Nikon D4 by the end of the year as well.

    My guess will be that the 5D mrk3 will have better video capability than the Nikon D800 but Nikon will move a lot closer and finally get their rear into gear. Photography wise the Nikon might be better with a better auto focus and iso ability.

    I doubt that APS sensors will hit 30mp range, but a full frame sensor could well, Nikon will probably release the D300s replacement, probably with the same sensor as the D7000, though upgraded a little bit.

    1. Thanks for the comments, Michael.

      Hmm, the Canon 5D was released in November 2005 and the 5D MarkII in September 2008, so the 5D MarkIII really doesn’t qualify as a “new full-frame camera.”

      I agree, the 5D MarkIII will set and raise the bar for DSLR videography. I expect they’ll pay particular attention to the outdated focus system.

      There have been rumblings of a Canon 1Ds Mark IV in the 30 megapixel range for some time now. Canon’s flagship camera is three years old and due for an update.

      Mark

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